Understanding Snow Quality Ratings
This guide explains what each snow quality rating means, how conditions create them, and what to expect when skiing. Ratings are updated hourly based on real-time weather data.
How It Works
Powdrly analyzes weather conditions (temperature, humidity, wind, snowfall) to classify snow quality every hour. Each rating includes:
- Snow Type: The classification (e.g., Powder, Wet, Wind Slab Risk)
- Confidence Score: How reliable the prediction is (0-100)
- Reasons: What conditions led to this classification
Higher confidence scores mean more reliable predictions. Lower scores indicate uncertain or changing conditions.
🎿 Powder Family (Best Conditions)
These are the conditions every skier dreams of—light, dry, fluffy snow that's easy to ski and forgiving.
Blower Pow
Powder
Creamy
⚠️ Packed/Heavy Conditions
Denser snow that requires more effort but can still be enjoyable, especially on groomed runs.
Packed Powder
Heavy
💧 Wet Conditions
Snow that's melting or near melting point—can be fun in spring conditions but watch for refreezing.
Wet
🌬️ Wind Effects
Wind can dramatically change snow conditions, creating smooth surfaces or dangerous avalanche conditions.
Wind Buff
Wind Slab Risk ⚠️ DANGER
⚠️ High Avalanche Risk
This is a serious hazard warning. Wind-loaded snow creates unstable layers that can trigger avalanches. Avoid steep terrain and check avalanche conditions before skiing.
🚫 Hazards & No Snow
Conditions that indicate poor skiing, variable surfaces, or safety concerns.
No New Snow
Chalk
Ice Risk
Crust Risk
Confidence Scores
The confidence score (0-100) tells you how reliable the prediction is. Higher scores mean more reliable conditions.
90-100: Very High
Conditions are clear and reliable. Strong signals from weather data make this a confident prediction.
70-89: High
Good prediction with minor uncertainty. Conditions should match the rating, but small variations possible.
40-69: Medium
Some uncertainty present. Conditions may vary from the rating. Use as a general guide.
0-39: Low
High uncertainty. Conditions are unpredictable or changing rapidly. Rating may not be accurate.
What Affects Confidence?
Quick Reference Table
| Snow Type | Conditions | Skiing Quality | Safety Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blower Pow | Very cold, very low density | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Excellent | ✅ Safe |
| Powder | Cold, low density | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Excellent | ✅ Safe |
| Creamy | Moderate density | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Very Good | ✅ Safe |
| Packed Powder | Near freezing, moderate-high density | ⭐⭐⭐ Good | ✅ Safe |
| Heavy | High density or warm | ⭐⭐ Fair | ✅ Safe |
| Wet | At/above freezing | ⭐⭐ Fair | ⚠️ Caution |
| Wind Buff | High wind, cold | ⭐⭐⭐ Good | ✅ Safe |
| Wind Slab Risk | High wind + snowfall | N/A | 🚨 DANGER |
| No New Snow | Minimal snowfall | ⭐⭐ Variable | ✅ Safe |
| Chalk | Cold, wind-affected | ⭐⭐⭐ Good | ✅ Safe |
| Ice Risk | Melt conditions | ⭐ Poor | ⚠️ Caution |
| Crust Risk | Melt-freeze cycle | ⭐⭐ Variable | ⚠️ Caution |
Safety Warnings
⚠️ When to Avoid Skiing
- Wind Slab Risk: High avalanche danger. Avoid steep terrain and check avalanche forecasts.
- Extreme Ice Risk: Very slippery conditions. Only ski if you're experienced and have proper equipment.
⚠️ Use Caution
- Crust Risk: Variable conditions. Test the snow before committing to steep terrain.
- Wet Conditions: Can refreeze into ice. Be aware of changing conditions throughout the day.
- Low Confidence Scores: Conditions are uncertain. Be prepared for variable snow.
Always Check
- Avalanche forecasts from your local avalanche center
- Current weather conditions before heading out
- Mountain conditions reports from the resort
- Your equipment is appropriate for conditions
How to Use This Guide
- Check ratings before heading out: Look at current conditions and the forecast to plan your day.
- Combine with avalanche forecasts: Always check official avalanche forecasts, especially for backcountry skiing.
- Use confidence scores: Higher scores mean more reliable predictions. Lower scores indicate uncertainty.
- Plan around conditions: Powder days are for fresh tracks. Packed powder days are great for groomers. Avoid dangerous conditions entirely.
- Stay safe: No rating system can replace local knowledge and proper safety equipment. When in doubt, err on the side of caution.